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Baccarat Strategy Guide – Learn About the Top Baccarat Strategies

This page is your complete guide to Baccarat strategy. The game is easy to learn, but if you want to consistently win at baccarat, there are a number of strategies to consider.

In this in-depth guide, we’ll cover a variety of baccarat betting strategies and techniques. Our experts will give you the full lowdown on everything you need to know on baccarat strategy to help you beat the house. Once you’ve read through our guide, you’ll be ready to play baccarat like a pro with a winning strategy.

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Betting Strategically – Baccarat Bets to Make and Avoid

Before we dive into specific betting strategies, it’s important to cover standard baccarat bets. Baccarat’s betting rules are fairly simple, with only the Banker, Player, Tie, and sometimes Player Pair or Banker Pair bets available. Before you play, brush up on which bets you should avoid and which ones give you the best chance of winning. If you are new to baccarat, we also recommend that you first take a look at our how to play guide.

Positive Progression Vs Negative Progression Strategies

Most baccarat betting strategies fall under one of two categories: positive progression and negative progression. It’s easy to understand the two because they are basically opposite strategies, each with their own advantages and disadvantages. Once you have a grasp of positive and negative progression systems, you will know whether one of them is the right type of baccarat strategy for you.

Baccarat Card Counting: Is It a Good Strategy?

Card counting is the process of tracking which cards have been dealt over the course of multiple hands to increase your chances of placing a winning bet. It’s a popular strategy for blackjack, and some believe it can be applied to baccarat as well.

When done correctly, counting cards in baccarat can help you select the most profitable bet and reduce the house edge. However, the advantage is very slim and card counting in baccarat is only marginally profitable.

Baccarat card counting is viable at a land-based casino or in a live dealer casino game. It won’t work in an online casino, as there is no shoe and the system can shuffle the cards at any point.

Card counting is still a useful skill to have and can help you hone your baccarat winning strategy. If you want to learn the basics, you can review our easy baccarat card counting guide below.

How to Count Cards in Baccarat

First, find a baccarat table with a freshly loaded shoe. This will give you a clean slate and help you get used to the cadence of baccarat card counting.

When a card is dealt (whether it’s to you, the Banker, or another Player), you add or subtract to your “count” depending on the card’s value. Your “count” is simply a number that helps you determine which bet to place on the next hand. Here are the card values that will help you get started:

  • Ace, 2, or 3: +1

  • 4: +2

  • 5, 7, or 8: -1

  • 10, Jack, Queen, or King: 0 (neutral)

Naturally, the count will increase or decrease over time based on the cards being dealt. The total of your count helps you decide which bet to place. On a count of +16 or higher, you wager on the Player hand. At +15 or lower, bet the Banker.

When you break down this baccarat strategy step by step, the process is quite simple:

Tally your count using the value above as a hand is played. If you’re playing with a Banker and one other player, it could look like this:

  • Your hand: Ace, 7 (total: 0)

  • Other Player hand: 4, 2 (total: 3)

  • Banker hand: Jack, 4: (total: 2)

The count now totals +5, so you bet on the Banker for the next hand.

Card counting in baccarat reduces the house edge by a small margin when done correctly. As cards are removed from the shoe, they make it more likely for either the Player or Banker bet to win. If you can do it well, card counting can give you a small advantage in baccarat.

Land-Based Vs Online Baccarat Strategy

When you first learn how to win consistently at baccarat, it’s important to consider certain factors as you shape your strategy. If you play online instead of at a land-based casino’s baccarat table, you’ll have to change your approach slightly.

There are distinct advantages and disadvantages in each form of baccarat.

In land-based versions and online live dealer baccarat, card counting is possible. Both iterations of the game use a shoe, so you can track which cards are dealt and adjust your count during each hand. At a casino, baccarat typically has a minimum bet (anywhere from £5-£20 on most tables) that can impact your progression betting system. Maximum betting limits make it harder to reach the higher end of your preferred betting system. Set an upper limit in advance so you know from the get-go how much you are willing to bet in total.

Online casinos are virtual opposites from their land-based counterparts in terms of baccarat advantages and disadvantages. You can’t count cards because there is no shoe. The minimum bets tend to be lower at online casinos, so you have more wiggle room to play around with different betting progressions.

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Our Expert Tips for Perfecting Your Baccarat Strategy

Now that you’re familiar with baccarat strategy, the VSO team has a few final tips to help you perfect your approach to this popular table game.

  • Avoid Looking For Patterns

    Baccarat is a game of chance and the cards (whether physical or virtual) are shuffled randomly. Patterns may seem enticing, but they can be misleading. Instead of seeking out patterns, focus on making smart bets as you play baccarat.

  • Find Games With Lower Commissions

    The house usually takes a 5% commission when you win on the banker bet. If you can find a game with a lower commission, your wins will pay more. Some casinos may also offer no commission baccarat.

  • Go For Tables With Fewer Decks

    Most baccarat tables will use 6 or 8 decks. In this case, fewer is better. You can count cards more easily with fewer decks, and the house edge is slightly diminished in baccarat when the number of decks is smaller.

  • Start With Mini Baccarat

    Baccarat exists in multiple formats. For new players, mini baccarat is an excellent first step. It’s friendly to newcomers and the dealer runs the game—you don’t even need to touch your cards. Big baccarat and midi baccarat are more complex. However, once you’re familiar with mini, you can move up to the other formats.

Use Your Baccarat Strategy to Win Real Money at Our #1 Casino

Now that you’ve read through our complete baccarat strategy guide, you’re ready to take what you’ve learned and put it to the test! You can apply these strategies at our #1 baccarat casino to win real money. You’ll receive a welcome bonus when you join, and you can use it to play baccarat and a variety of other casino games.

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